On November 2, 2005, NEDA released an analysis of the 2004 precinct level Ohio exit poll data entitled “The Gun is Smoking: Ohio Exit Poll Data Provides Virtually Irrefutable Evidence of Vote Miscount”. The analysis used data provided in the Election Sciences Institute (ESI) report of June 6, 2005.
On November 3, 2005 NEDA realized that its interpretation of the definition for the term “nonresponders” to the exit poll, as used by ESI, was incorrect.
What this means is that it is most likely that the Ohio exit poll data is:
1. inconsistent with voter exit poll response explanations as put forth wrongly by Mitofsky in his Jan 19th paper
2. highly suspicious and very consistent with vote fraud explanations
but does "not" contain "virtually irrefutable" evidence of vote fraud.
In a positive sense, notice that NEDA withdrew its incorrect analysis within 24 hours, whereas ESI and Mitofsky, whose analysis has clearly been proven mathematically to be balderdash, have yet to show the integrity to withdraw their own analysis, which they has wrongfully let stand since June, and presented in October to the American Statistical Association fall conference in Philadelphia.
Anyone who has used our press release from yesterday, please substitute this press release instead: http://electionarchive.org/ucvInfo/release/ESI-hypothesis-illogical-press-release.pdf
It is very important to get the word out that the Mitofsky/ESI analyses are useless bunk.
http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/ESI/ESI-hypothesis-illogical.pdf
This above math proof still stands as 100% correct, has been reviewed by PhD mathematicians and physicists.
A valid analysis of the Ohio exit poll data still remains to be accomplished. The Ohio exit poll data is available (click on ESI data):
http://electionscience.org/reports/view_reports
On November 3, 2005 NEDA realized that its interpretation of the definition for the term “nonresponders” to the exit poll, as used by ESI, was incorrect.
What this means is that it is most likely that the Ohio exit poll data is:
1. inconsistent with voter exit poll response explanations as put forth wrongly by Mitofsky in his Jan 19th paper
2. highly suspicious and very consistent with vote fraud explanations
but does "not" contain "virtually irrefutable" evidence of vote fraud.
In a positive sense, notice that NEDA withdrew its incorrect analysis within 24 hours, whereas ESI and Mitofsky, whose analysis has clearly been proven mathematically to be balderdash, have yet to show the integrity to withdraw their own analysis, which they has wrongfully let stand since June, and presented in October to the American Statistical Association fall conference in Philadelphia.
Anyone who has used our press release from yesterday, please substitute this press release instead: http://electionarchive.org/ucvInfo/release/ESI-hypothesis-illogical-press-release.pdf
It is very important to get the word out that the Mitofsky/ESI analyses are useless bunk.
http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/ESI/ESI-hypothesis-illogical.pdf
This above math proof still stands as 100% correct, has been reviewed by PhD mathematicians and physicists.
A valid analysis of the Ohio exit poll data still remains to be accomplished. The Ohio exit poll data is available (click on ESI data):
http://electionscience.org/reports/view_reports