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Executive Summary:
  • There is a substantial discrepancy—well outside the margin of error and outcomedeterminative— between the national exit poll and the popular vote count.
  • The possible causes of the discrepancy would be random error, a skewed exit poll, or breakdown in the fairness of the voting process and accuracy of the vote count.
  • Analysis shows that the discrepancy cannot reasonably be accounted for by chance or random error.
  • Evidence does not support hypotheses that the discrepancy was produced by problems with the exit poll.
  • Widespread breakdown in the fairness of the voting process and accuracy of the vote count are the most likely explanations for the discrepancy.
  • In an accurate count of a free and fair election, the strong likelihood is that Kerry would have been the winner of the popular vote.


  • Download the paper (PDF, File size: 2.1 MB)
    There are scripts that qualify as national treasures, and Mel Brooks's THE PRODUCERS is high on the A-list.  It is the ultimate, over the top, gleefully politically incorrect, good-hearted, goof-ball, completely nutso musical tour de force that defies description.  Like a great moment in history, you just have to be there.

    The version presented by the Broadway Series at the Ohio Theater---itself a national treasure---does this jewel justice.  The staging is beautiful, the acoustics fine, the cast a delight, the  costumes and sets all they should be.  In short, it's a wonderful evening in a setting that can't be beat. 

    If you don't know the story, don't worry, there's not much to tell.  A down-on-his luck producer named Bialystock hooks up with a liberated accountant named Bloom to scam a show funded by horny old women.  They want it to fail, and wind up with a bomb called SPRINGTIME FOR HITLER that turns into a blitzkreig.  What more can be said?

    I worked on the Kerry campaign  for months but to me he has given up he is not like Gore at least he fought to be President Kerry has not done anything that scares me here's why some times I think the democrats are involved in these election mishaps I find it hard to believe that Al Gore  couldn't get one senator to vote his way in 2000 and now Kerry with all the rumors about exit polls Kerry has disappeared and done nothing  and Iraq that's a whole other  story Bush has lied and lied to get our troops over there there are no wmd's that's for sure and the people get to vote now but we will stay I  say put saddam on the ballot and if he wins we leave and save some lives because that's how the people will want it but Bush will fix that vote just like Afghanistan bushs man won what a good thing for Bush

    AUSTIN, Texas -- Oh 2004, 2004, bird thou never wert. Was it really that horrible a year, or does it only seem that way?

    Abu Ghraib, the endless trials anent Kobe Bryant and Scott Peterson, war in Iraq looking worse every day, Howard Dean eliminated over a whoop and a presidential race so devoid of joy that the high point was when the president claimed God speaks through him -- leaving us to contemplate the news that God doesn't know how to pronounce nuclear and has yet to master subject-verb agreement. "Performance enhancing drugs" in baseball. Ray Charles died. Karl Rove is Man of the Year. We're all overweight. Swift Boat Liars win the presidential race for Bush. Then just to round things off nicely, a terrible natural disaster. What a bummer.

    But, look at it this way ... the Boston Red Sox won the championship. Eliot Spitzer is scaring the spit out of the insurance industry (check out those year-end bonuses on Wall Street, El). The Greek Olympics went well. Maybe we could end the payola by just having them in Greece every time. Lance Armstrong won the Tour de France for a record sixth time, a symbolic victory for cancer patients everywhere.
    Iraq Veterans Against the War
    216 South Meramec Ave
    St. Louis, MO 63105
    314-725-6005
    www.ivaw.net

    Iraq Veterans Against the War (IVAW) is a group of veterans who have served since September 11, 2001. They have called for an immediate withdrawal of all occupying forces. They are also calling on the Bush administration to give their soldiers, Marines, sailors and airmen the benefits that are owed to them upon their return home.

    Military Families Speak Out
    P.O. Box 549
    Jamaica Plain, MA 02130
    617-522-9323
    www.mfso.org

    Military Families Speak Out is an organization of people who are opposed to war in Iraq and who have relatives or loved ones in the military. They formed in November of 2002.

    GI Rights Hotline
    405 14th St., Suite 205,
    Oakland, CA 94612
    http://girights.objector.org/

    Ohio-based journalist Harvey Wasserman reviews the ongoing controversy surrounding the presidential vote in Ohio. Representative John Conyers - the top Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee - has called on The Associated Press and the five broadcast networks to turn over raw exit poll data collected on Election Day in order to investigate any discrepancies between the data and the certified election results. [includes rush transcript]

    Check it out today
    Harvey,  

    Unfortunately this Ohio recount only works to solidify the Republican position.  Those who perpetrated this crime already had this all figured in.  That's why the exit poles are so important.  That is the true vote.  People coming out of the poling booths saying they voted for Kerry (and believing it) when the computer says they voted for Bush.  This type of fraud  doesn't show up in a recount.  It is only a revote that can address these issues.  Please press on for a revote.  It's the only way justice can be served.  Thank you for keeping the momentum on this most critical issue.  Our democracy is at stake!  

    Thank you.  

    I JUST READ AN ARTICLE BY GARY BECKWITH ABOUT THE WITHHOLDING OF THE RAW POLLS BY THE NATIONAL TELEVISION NETWORKS,I SUGGEST WE POST SOMEWHERE ASKING EVERYONE TO START FLOODING THE NETWORKS WITH EMAILS,SAYING WE WILL BOYCOTT THEM AND THEIR ADVERTISERS,WE WILL TURN OFF OUR TELEVISION SETS IF THEY DO NOT START TALKING ABOUT IT ON THEIR NEWS PROGRAM,I HAVE ALREADY DONE THIS,BUT AM NOT SURE HOW MANY OTHERS HAVE DONE IT OR DOING IT,WE ONLY HAVE A FEW MORE DAYS TO GET THIS DONE,LETS START PUTTING PRESSURE ON THEM,WHO KNOWS,WITH PRAYERS IT MIGHT MAKE A DIFFERENCE.

    What an incredible bunch of losers you left wing whackos are! To ease the burden on your aboriginal brains about why the networks won't release the exit poll data, here's the answer: the data will show that they lied about how "well" Kerry was faring during the morning hours of November 2.

    As for your disbelief about why head Democratic party officials and the networks refuse to challenge the Republicans about vote fraud, look no further than the reports that emerged during October about junkies in Ohio getting hard cash for registering non-existent people as Democrats. If they dared to challenge the officially tallied results of the Ohio elections, the Republicans would pull out all the stops and investigate the fraudulent attempts to swell the rolls of registered Democrats.

    The choice is yours: get over it or risk public humiliation as indicated above.
    Harvey Wasserman, last week Christmas Eve, on Democracy Now two days in a row railed against John Kerry for his failure to join the Ohio vote recount battle. On December 23rd it was reported on a blog carried by Dailykos.com that late Thursday afternoon Kerry had filed suit and joined the battle, this news was not carried by any of the mainstream media, neither was it reported until today by FreePress. I think if you claim to tell the truth, you tell the whole truth and not partial truth. Wasserman should apologise to Kerry and the listeners of Democracy Now for failing to uncover the entire story. This situation is serious enough without compounding it be accusations against the person who it affects the most.

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